{
 "graded_predictions": 70,
 "mean_brier": 0.134,
 "reference": "0.25 = coin-flip forecasting; lower is better; a perfect forecaster scores 0",
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   "area": "The Cookbook Banks",
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   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Textbook Shelf",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W22",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Waters of Faith",
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   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Thriller Deeps",
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   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Romance Gulf",
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   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Speculative Reach",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W22",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.578
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   "area": "The Western Rise",
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   "claim": "volume at or above force 5",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W22",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.073
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   "area": "The Biography Heads",
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   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Self-Help Straits",
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   "area": "The History Banks",
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   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Disc Shoals",
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   "brier": 0.062
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   "grade_week": "2026-W22",
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   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Children's Shallows",
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   "p": 0.25,
   "grade_week": "2026-W23",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.562
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  {
   "area": "The Cookbook Banks",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W23",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Textbook Shelf",
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   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Waters of Faith",
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   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Thriller Deeps",
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   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.068
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   "area": "The Romance Gulf",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W23",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Speculative Reach",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W23",
   "actual": 0,
   "brier": 0.548
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   "area": "The Western Rise",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W23",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.073
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   "area": "The Biography Heads",
   "key": "biography",
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   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Self-Help Straits",
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   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.068
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   "area": "The History Banks",
   "key": "history",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W23",
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   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Disc Shoals",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W23",
   "actual": 0,
   "brier": 0.562
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   "grade_week": "2026-W23",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Children's Shallows",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W24",
   "actual": 0,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Cookbook Banks",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W24",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "grade_week": "2026-W24",
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   "area": "The Waters of Faith",
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   "brier": 0.062
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   "brier": 0.068
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   "area": "The Romance Gulf",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W24",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Speculative Reach",
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   "actual": 0,
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   "area": "The Western Rise",
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   "brier": 0.073
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   "area": "The Biography Heads",
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   "area": "The Self-Help Straits",
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   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.068
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   "area": "The History Banks",
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   "brier": 0.062
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   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Children's Shallows",
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   "actual": 0,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "grade_week": "2026-W25",
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   "brier": 0.062
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   "grade_week": "2026-W25",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Waters of Faith",
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   "area": "The Romance Gulf",
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   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Speculative Reach",
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   "actual": 0,
   "brier": 0.058
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   "brier": 0.068
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   "area": "The History Banks",
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   "brier": 0.562
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   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Children's Shallows",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Textbook Shelf",
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   "p": 0.75,
   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Waters of Faith",
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   "p": 0.75,
   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "area": "The Thriller Deeps",
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   "p": 0.75,
   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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  {
   "area": "The Romance Gulf",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
  },
  {
   "area": "The Speculative Reach",
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   "claim": "volume at or above force 5",
   "p": 0.24,
   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.578
  },
  {
   "area": "The Western Rise",
   "key": "westerns",
   "claim": "volume at or above force 5",
   "p": 0.74,
   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.068
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  {
   "area": "The Biography Heads",
   "key": "biography",
   "claim": "volume at or above force 5",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.068
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   "area": "The Self-Help Straits",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.068
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   "area": "The History Banks",
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   "p": 0.75,
   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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  {
   "area": "The Pre-ISBN Deeps",
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   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
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   "p": 0.75,
   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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   "key": "generalfic",
   "claim": "volume at or above force 5",
   "p": 0.75,
   "grade_week": "2026-W26",
   "actual": 1,
   "brier": 0.062
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 ]
}